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Strategic Advisory

Service sector activity accelerates in April

It’s impossible to overstate the importance of the service sector to the modern UK economy. According to research by the House of Commons Library, it represents 81% of UK economic output and provides 83% of our employment. The service sector includes retail, financial services, public sector activities, business administration, hospitality, leisure and cultural businesses. The S&P Global/CIPS Purchasing Managers’ Index

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monthly overview

May 2024 economic and business overview

The UK economy appears to be on a slow upward trajectory in 2024 after a rocky start and on the back of a tough business landscape in 2023. We hope this trend continues and improves as UK business owners desperately need some stability and growth. Delving deeper into April’s stats, there was mixed news with a pleasant surprise in the

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rising business costs

Rising business costs in the new fiscal year

The signs are that the worst of the cost of living crisis may be over for consumers, with CPI inflation at 3.4% in February now well below the rise in average pay of 6.1% for those in work. Pensioners have seen a huge hike of 8.5% and most benefits have been uprated by 6.7%. If only the situation facing businesses

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monthly overview

April 2024 economic and business overview

Green shoots of recovery or another false dawn? The chart of the UK’s monthly GDP movement over the past thirteen months, published in mid-March by the Office for National Statistics, confirms just how erratic and weak our growth performance was in 2023. There were six monthly rises and six monthly falls, all of less than 0.75% and most far smaller

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recession opportunities

Turning recession into a time of opportunity

The Office for National Statistics has finally put an end to speculation and confirmed that the UK was in a technical recession in the second half of 2023. Forecasts for a recovery are muted, with the EY Item Club and the IMF predicting growth in 2024 of 0.9% and 0.6% respectively. Corporate insolvencies hit an all time high of 26,595

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March 2024 economic and business overview

What next for the UK economy now we’re in a recession? Economists need ponder no longer, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) finally confirmed that Q4 2023 saw a fall in GDP adding to the negative outturn for Q3, thereby creating a recession which government sources dismiss as no more than ‘technical’. What it certainly counts as is ‘shallow’ by

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